GTA Condo Market: Latest Quarterly Report | Condo Point

March 7, 2025

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Updated Report on GTA Condo Market – A real estate market update from Condo Point featuring the Toronto skyline.

In the most recent quarter, the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) condo market showed notable changes that provided buyers with more choices and reasonably priced options. Rising inventory levels and declining borrowing rates let condominium buyers position themselves more powerfully for negotiations.

This blog examines the latest quarterly report by TREBB, which discusses key statistics, including sales volume, average prices, and future market expectations.

Increased Affordability for Condo Buyers

GTA condo buyers benefited from better affordability brought about by several important variables over the most recent quarter. Two 50 basis point cuts by the Bank of Canada helped reduce the mortgage load. Lower borrowing costs have made monthly payments more reasonable for first-time buyers who have been priced out of the market in past years.

 Furthermore, the GTA condo market saw a significant rise in inventory, providing buyers with more negotiating leverage. Active listings increased by 43% yearly, giving buyers more choices and space to negotiate good deals. For many, this rise in supply, together with a 1.6% drop in average condo prices, produced a more accessible market.

Key Affordability Metrics:

Metric

Current Quarter

Previous Year

Change (%)

Average Condo Price (GTA)

$689,198

$700,393

-1.6%

Average Condo Price (Toronto)

$717,226

$721,000

-0.5%

Active Listings

6,450

4,511

+43%

Total Sales

4,307

3,431

+25.5%

Rising Inventory and Buyer Negotiation Power

The increase in active condo listings all around the GTA marked the most important trend of this quarter. This increase in supply has changed the balance of the market and given consumers more power and options. Six 450 active listings had been noted by the end of the quarter, a 43% increase from the year before. This inventory increase has produced a buyer's market whereby sellers have to price competitively, and homes take longer to sell.

 For purchasers, this implies improved chances to locate a house fit for their requirements and the capacity to negotiate price cuts or other incentives. Conversely, sellers must adjust to these shifting dynamics by determining reasonable asking rates and being ready for longer sales cycles.

Condo Sales Surge by 25.5%

Though inventory is rising, the GTA condo market saw a 25.5% rise in sales. This increase suggests lowered borrowing rates and prices, which inspire more people to enter the market. Given rising monthly rents, many renters become homeowners since it makes more financial sense.

Toronto remained the most active area, with two-thirds of all condo sales. Other areas grew rather noticeably, including York and Peel. The Halton Region most dramatically saw a rise in sales, with a 110% year-over-year increase.

Sales Breakdown by Region

Region

Sales (Current Quarter)

Sales (Previous Year)

Change (%)

City of Toronto

2,871

2,345

+22.4%

York Region

710

534

+32.9%

Peel Region

456

367

+24.2%

Durham Region

165

135

+22.2%

Halton Region

105

50

+110%

 

Future Outlook for the GTA Condo Market

Short-term industry analysts believe the GTA condo market will continue to be buyer-friendly. Although demand is expected to rise, especially given that more interest rate cuts are expected in the spring of 2025, the current high inventory will help slow down price increases.

 One of the leading forces influencing future market activity will be the further lowering of borrowing costs. As the Bank of Canada signals more rate reductions, more prospective buyers could be motivated to join the market. However, absorbing the current inventory level will take time; thus, sellers should only expect a modest price increase at most.

Projected Trends for 2025

Factor

Expected Impact

Interest Rate Cuts

Boost buyer affordability

High Inventory Levels

Keep price growth muted

Increased First-Time Buyers

Stronger condo sales activity

Urban Core Demand

Steady demand in Toronto

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

For Buyers

1. More options of properties made possible by more inventory help buyers.

2. Better Deals - Negotiators can work for more advantageous terms and pricing.

3. Lower interest rates help mortgages to be more manageable.

For Sellers

1.  Attracting buyers depends on appropriate pricing, which is competitive.

2. Higher inventory will cause a slower sales process over longer selling times.

3. To escape future competition, think about listing sooner rather than later.

Final Thoughts

The GTA condo market favors buyers thanks to declining prices, reduced borrowing costs, and more supply. Renters considering homeownership and buyers trying to get a good bargain will find this environment perfect. Salespeople must use reasonable pricing policies and understand the competitive scene. More interest rate cuts as we enter 2025 could boost demand, but the higher inventory will probably stop quick price rises.

FAQs

1. Why are GTA condo prices declining?

Increased inventory and lower borrowing costs have created a buyer's market, leading to slight price declines.

2. Is now a good time to buy a condo in the GTA?

Yes, with more choices, better deals, and lower interest rates, it's an opportune time for buyers.

3. What regions saw the most condo sales growth?

Halton Region experienced the highest growth, with a 110% increase in sales year-over-year.

4. Will condo prices rise in 2025?

While demand may increase, high inventory levels are expected to moderate price growth.